House prices. Fall or rise?

Sellers are finding it more difficult to sell their houses in the current economic climate and it might not get any better for the first half of 2009. According to ABSA price growth will be negative the first half of the year, even if the interest rate comes down, because markets recover gradually.

There does seem to be a more positive outlook for some areas and price bands. According to Pam Golding Properties real estate below R 800 000 in Johannesburg east, Soweto, Pretoria and Midrand is expected to do well. The reason I think these properties will do better than others is because of the market they are aimed at. Even though prices are dropping and interest rates are high, there has to be first-time-buyers out there that can now afford to get their hands on real estate, maybe I am wrong. The other scenario could be that now that people are not buying property they need to rent. If you have investment properties in these areas you probably are making good rental income, this scenario is probably more likely than the first, what do you think?

The biggest problem for sellers in the current market is that they will not get their price, in fact, they will probably lose money. If you are thinking of selling your property maybe you should wait until the economic conditions improve, I know this isn’t always as easy as it sounds, but I still say try everything you can before selling.

Now if you are a buyer than take your time and do your research. If you buy right in the current market you will make a killing when the market turns. Don’t go on a spending spree and try to buy every property you can find but check what the historical trends are of the area you want to buy in. A little work now can save you lots of money later.

ABSA expects inflation and the interest rate to fall in 2009, this will definitely have a positive effect on the property market in 2010. So, if you can get into the market now do it.

Well let’s wait and see what happens this year, I like to think positive, what do you think?

Residential property out performs JSE!!!

In 2008 the residential property market outperformed the JSE listed commercial property funds. Even though we are experiencing the worst slump in 16 years, real estate is still one of the most “safe” investment vehicles.

Latest figures show that the share prices of the 22 property stocks that make up the JSE’s real estate sector fell by 15%. Others have fallen more than 30%.

The latest figures from ABSA show the the residential market is still growing, even though it is small. FNB also shows growth in the residential property market.

Some experts believe that we do need at least a 400 basis point interest rate drop before we will see an improvement in property value growth.

I guess we will have to wait and see.

Property buyers are changing.

I found interesting information regarding the South African property buyer’s profile. Apparently for the last years young, wealthy executives,  most from the financial sector – investment bankers, hedge fund and unit trust CEOs and financial counsellors were the ones buying up all the real estate and causing the prices to escalate.

Now that we are in a global economic crisis it seems that these buyers are disappearing. This is causing the real estate market to normalise to a more stable environment, which is good. A market that has stable growth will be much safer to invest in.

There is how-ever a catch. Even though we are seeing really affordable prices for real estate we will probably never see these prices again. I have noticed already that in this “Dooms Day World” we are living in at the moment where every second person shouts: “The end is here!!!” some areas property values are still going up.

If you are ever going to get in to the real estate market start planning now, get rid of unnecessary debt, make sure you can pay the bond and get in to real estate.

We love to hear your opinion so please comment and give us your view.

Why I love real estate

Why should we be so optimistic and excited about real estate? The economy is in crisis, property prices are falling, so what is so special about real estate?

Well I think the first thing you have to realise is this. Everybody needs a place to stay. It does not matter in what economic cycle we are, we need to live somewhere.

But what if the economy is doing bad and prices are dropping and inflation is high and I can not afford to go on holiday and and and… Well think about it. People won’t buy homes so the need to rent. Where are they going to find a place to stay…I know, your investment property!!! And because demand for rental property increased, you can get a better rental :) .

Okay I here you say but what if the economy is doing well and everybody is buying property. That’s great, now demand for real estate is high and your property value sky rockets.

You know what, after writing this I am even more excited about real estate. What do you think?

Invest in parking.

Many investors get bogged down in buy-to-let properties that can initially show a rather limited return once they have long-term tenant.

There are other types of property investment out there that should be explored.You can buy/build a parkade or parking spaces with the intention of charging for the use of them.This gives you the ability to charge competitive rates and guarantee a steady income if you are in the right location.

Parking in the CBD’s of all major cities, or anywhere there is a demand for it such as security complexes, is always in great demand.Parkades are popular because they also offer some level of security to drivers when they park there for the day.As we all know it is getting more and more expensive to park anywhere in the city these days and until we have a vastly improved public transport system that negates the need for so many people to drive to work a parkade could be a very lucrative investment.

It has the distinct possibility of becoming a positive cashflow property if managed correctly.There will be costs involved in the running of it but many things are also automated these days which could bring costs down.

I doubt South Africa is going to achieve the level of convenience and cost effectiveness in public transport that we see in European public transport for at least twenty years to come.So there will certainly still be parkade users for many years to come.

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